COMO INVESTIR MELHOR QUE 99% DOS TRADERS DE CRIPTO DO MUNDO | Crypto Never Sleeps #37

Episode Overview

• Understanding the "Tokenization of Everything" Thesis: This episode explores the BlackRock-backed prediction that all real-world assets (RWAs)—from real estate deeds to medical records and personal identities—will migrate to blockchain infrastructure within the next decade, transforming the global economy.
• Mastering On-Chain Analysis over Narrative: The discussion shifts the focus from "crypto gambling" to "data verification," teaching investors how to use on-chain tools to audit projects in real-time rather than relying on delayed quarterly reports or influencer hype.
• The Psychology of High Performance: Drawing from a background in professional MMA, the guest explains how discipline, emotional control, and "anti-fragility" are transferable skills essential for surviving the brutality of financial markets.
• Navigating the "Trap" of Modern Markets: The conversation dissects why traditional paths to wealth are failing younger generations, leading to the "Long Degeneracy" thesis, and explains specific market mechanics like liquidity hunting and token unlocks that destroy retail portfolios.
• AI and Blockchain Convergence: The episode frames blockchain not just as financial tech, but as the necessary "source of truth" to combat deepfakes and fraud in an AI-dominated future.

Key Concepts

• The Tokenization of Real-World Assets (RWA): The future of finance extends beyond digital currency trading. It involves migrating physical and legal assets—such as property deeds, medical records, and identities—onto the blockchain as smart contracts. This shift turns static assets into programmable, instantly verifiable contracts, reducing bureaucracy and fraud.

• On-Chain Truth vs. Traditional Opacity: In traditional finance (TradFi), investors rely on outdated quarterly reports. Web3 offers "On-Chain Analysis," allowing real-time auditing of a project's cash flow and health. This transparency enables investors to verify data (like revenue or user activity) instantly rather than trusting a CEO's word.

• The Supply Dilution Trap: A critical error in investing is confusing a "good project" with a "good investment." Asset price is determined by supply and demand. Even if demand is high, aggressive "token unlocks" (increasing the circulating supply) can dilute value significantly. Investors must analyze vesting schedules to avoid buying assets destined for inflation.

• Liquidity Hunting & Market Manipulation: "Smart Money" (institutions) actively hunts liquidity. If retail investors are heavily leveraged (betting with borrowed money), institutions may intentionally drive prices down to hit "liquidation points." This forces retail traders to sell at a loss, allowing institutions to buy assets at a discount before the price rises.

• The "Long Degeneracy" Thesis: This sociological concept explains the rise of high-risk speculation (meme coins, gambling) among younger generations. Because traditional paths (stable jobs, savings) no longer guarantee financial security due to inflation and housing costs, high-risk behavior becomes a mathematically rational attempt to escape economic mediocrity.

• Blockchain as the "Source of Truth" for AI: As Artificial Intelligence makes falsifying videos and documents trivial (deepfakes), blockchain becomes essential infrastructure. It provides a decentralized, immutable ledger to prove identity and authenticity, acting as a counter-measure to digital forgery.

• Discipline as a Transferable Asset: Success in trading requires an "anti-fragile" mindset similar to professional sports. The ability to endure losses, adhere to a rigorous routine, and prepare obsessively is more valuable than raw talent. Emotional control prevents "revenge trading" (trying to win back losses immediately), which usually leads to bankruptcy.

• Tokenomics: Deflation vs. Inflation: Understanding emission schedules is vital. Deflationary assets (like Ethereum) burn tokens with use, potentially increasing value if demand holds. Inflationary assets print new tokens constantly, requiring massive new demand just to maintain their price.

Quotes

• At 0:00:56 - "Nos próximos 10 anos, 100% dos ativos vão ser tokenizados. As pessoas vão ser um token, vão ser um contrato dentro de uma blockchain." - Summarizing the thesis that blockchain's utility extends beyond crypto trading into the fabric of legal and social identity.
• At 0:10:45 - "Eu como atleta novo, e pela disciplina que eu tinha de não faltar treinos... ele fez eu passar na frente de todos os outros atletas que não treinavam no mesmo ritmo." - Explaining how consistency allows newcomers to outperform talented veterans who lack commitment.
• At 0:12:22 - "Você quer ser o melhor? Você tem que andar com os melhores." - A concise mentorship principle emphasizing that exposure to high-performers is a prerequisite for elite success.
• At 0:16:30 - "Não é o perfil do comprador que está mudando. O que está mudando é a lei da oferta e da demanda." - Clarifying that market movements are driven by mechanical fundamentals (like supply unlocks) rather than just sentiment.
• At 0:18:15 - "A gente imagina que agora a gente tem apenas uma garrafa de água aqui e tem duas pessoas querendo comprar... Mas amanhã vai ter 100 garrafas de água com a mesma demanda." - A metaphor explaining why token inflation destroys price even if demand stays constant.
• At 0:27:38 - "I don't depend on data from people who will pass it to me; I can enter the blockchain and analyze the data on-chain in real-time... That transparency we have in Web3... is something the traditional market doesn't give us." - Highlight the superior transparency of crypto auditing compared to the stock market.
• At 0:33:35 - "In the Web3 era... the new oil will be Ethereum. Within the Ethereum ecosystem, you need to have Ether to transact. So the more transactions... the more it will need to burn Ethereum." - Defining Ethereum as a consumable commodity necessary for the digital economy.
• At 0:49:55 - "The institutional [investor] acts in a very silent way; they have a lot of calm, a lot of patience. 99% of investors... are immediatist, they don't have patience to resist the psychological game." - Contrasting reactive retail trading with the strategic accumulation of smart money.
• At 0:53:30 - "When we look at the reversals we had in the market... Bitcoin is hitting minimums [on exchanges], and the dollar value inside exchanges doesn't stop rising." - Explaining a specific on-chain metric that signals a bullish market reversal: low sell pressure combined with high buying power.
• At 0:56:56 - "Why will the guys [institutions] buy spot Ethereum to make it go up, if there is a guy leveraged with 10 billion in Ethereum? ... Let's throw this market down. Let's liquidate these guys and let's take this money." - Explaining why markets often crash before a major rally: to flush out leverage.
• At 0:59:01 - "Our mind lies. What will truly free us and keep us calm is knowledge... looking at the asset and knowing the real value of that asset." - Highlights that surviving volatility requires deep conviction in fundamental data to avoid panic selling.
• At 1:16:55 - "Knowing how to measure what is ego and what is reason. Many people want [to hold] just for the ego. They see they are wrong... but want to maintain it." - Explaining why retail investors lose everything by marrying a thesis and ignoring data proving the asset is collapsing.
• At 1:20:29 - "When Luna started to fall from 100 to 10 dollars, it calculated 99% [drop]. From 10 to 1 dollar [it's another 99%]... from 1 cent to 0.01... it kept adding zeros." - A mathematical breakdown of why "buying the dip" on a collapsing asset is dangerous.
• At 1:22:27 - "We are very aggressive. So when you take a hit, your first reaction is what? To hit back... Your ego of not wanting to accept that loss makes you end up handing over everything." - Explaining the psychology of "revenge trading," where refusal to accept a small loss leads to bankruptcy.
• At 1:29:27 - "In the time when you can fabricate video of anything, falsify the voice of anyone... you need a base that is the source of truth. And blockchain is the only technology today that we know that can do that." - Identifying the symbiotic relationship between AI (content generation) and Blockchain (verification).
• At 1:33:32 - "Any chance I have to blow up [get rich] fast is mathematically and psychologically superior to trying to take that traditional path... because AI is already eating jobs." - Summarizing the "Long Degeneracy" thesis: high risk is a rational response to a broken economic ladder.
• At 1:55:17 - "I arrived at tables I would never have sat at if not for the market... It won't recompense you because someone recommended you... but for your work, your discipline, and your commitment." - Defining the market as a brutal but fair meritocracy that rewards skill over status.
• At 1:59:47 - "The main factor for [Ethereum's underperformance] was really greed. People were so sure Ethereum would take off that they kept opening more leverage... taking loans with collateral in Ethereum." - Explaining how excessive bullish sentiment can actually suppress price action due to over-leverage.

Takeaways

• Verify Supply Schedules Before Buying: Never buy a crypto asset based on narrative alone. Check the "vesting schedule" to see if a massive token unlock is imminent, which would dilute your investment regardless of the project's quality.
• Use On-Chain Data to Audit Projects: Stop relying on influencers or CEO promises. Use blockchain explorers to verify a protocol's actual revenue, user activity, and treasury holdings in real-time.
• Avoid Cross-Margin Leverage: To prevent total portfolio loss, avoid "cross-margin" trading where a single bad position can drain your entire account balance. Isolate your risk.
• Monitor Exchange Flows Correctly: Do not assume moving crypto to an exchange is always a sell signal. Analyze whether the funds are going to Spot wallets (selling intent) or Futures wallets (collateral for leverage).
• Beware of the "Consensus Trap": When the entire market is certain an asset will rise, be cautious. Universal bullishness often leads to over-leverage, which institutions will target and liquidate before the price can actually go up.
• Diversify for Psychological Safety: Move profits into tangible assets like real estate. This isn't just for diversification, but to provide the psychological stability needed to make cold, rational decisions with your high-risk portfolio during crashes.
• Identify "Liquidity Vampire" Attacks: Be wary of developers who launch new protocols to siphon liquidity from their previous successful projects. This often leaves the original project as a "zombie chain."
• Leverage Your Environment: If you are not in a position of power, physically move to where the opportunities are. Use service roles (like a barber) in wealthy hubs to network and learn from high-net-worth individuals.
• Respect the Stop Loss: Treat a stop loss as a survival mechanism, not a failure. Accepting a small loss is mathematically superior to "hoping" for a reversal and losing your liquidity.
• Watch for Institutional Accumulation: Ignore news cycle fear (FUD). Look for on-chain signals of stablecoins (USDT/USDC) moving onto exchanges while Bitcoin supply on exchanges drops—this indicates smart money is buying the dip.
• Recognize Inflationary Economics: Understand that high yields (APY) on a token often come from printing new tokens. If the inflation rate exceeds the network's growth, you are losing purchasing power even if you are "earning" more tokens.