Why Did The US Invade Venezuela? (Analysis)

J
Jacob Shapiro Jan 04, 2026

Audio Brief

Show transcript
This episode covers the recent US operation in Venezuela, resulting in the detainment of President Nicolás Maduro, and analyzes its historical and geopolitical implications. There are three key takeaways from this analysis. First, understand US foreign policy in Latin America through a historical lens of imperialism, beyond official narratives. Second, monitor for potential escalations against other US adversaries, particularly Cuba, following this operation. Third, recognize that direct military action, rather than diplomatic or economic pressure, may signal a decline in a great power's soft power. The US framed the Maduro detainment as a law enforcement action. This analysis, however, views it as a modern form of imperialism, aligning with the Monroe Doctrine and precedents like the 1989 Panama invasion. It suggests the action is driven by resource control, specifically Venezuelan oil, and a broader strategy to reassert dominance. The Venezuela operation may serve as a template for future interventions, particularly against Cuba. Its perceived ease could embolden similar tactics against other adversaries. This also sends a geopolitical signal to US rivals like China and Russia regarding US intent to enforce its influence. Overt military action, rather than the threat of force or economic pressure, may signal a decline in a great power's "soft power." When diplomatic and economic tools prove insufficient, the need for direct intervention can highlight a weakening of overall global influence. This analysis suggests the Venezuela operation is a complex event with deep historical roots and significant geopolitical implications for future US foreign policy.

Episode Overview

  • This emergency podcast episode analyzes the breaking news of the US operation in Venezuela, which resulted in the detainment of President Nicolás Maduro and his wife.
  • The speaker provides historical context for US intervention in Latin America, framing the action as a modern form of imperialism consistent with past policies.
  • He argues that the operation was likely a "dry run" for a similar future action against Cuba and reflects a broader strategy by the Trump administration to reassert dominance in the Western Hemisphere.
  • The analysis touches upon the roles of key political figures like Marco Rubio, the economic motivations behind the intervention (oil resources), and the implications for other world powers like China and Russia.

Key Concepts

  • US Intervention in Venezuela: The central event is the US operation to detain Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, framed publicly as a law enforcement action against narco-trafficking rather than a military invasion.
  • Imperialism and the Monroe Doctrine: The speaker categorizes the action as "out and out imperialism," arguing it's a continuation of the Monroe Doctrine. He posits a "Trump Corollary," where the US overtly uses force to secure its interests in its sphere of influence.
  • Historical Precedent (Panama 1989): The speaker draws a direct parallel between the operation in Venezuela and the US invasion of Panama in 1989 to capture Manuel Noriega, suggesting the US has used this playbook before.
  • Internal Weakness: The ease with which the operation was seemingly carried out suggests the Venezuelan regime may have been internally weak or even complicit, effectively giving up Maduro without significant resistance.
  • Geopolitical Signaling: The operation serves multiple purposes: securing Venezuelan oil, making an example of a regime aligned with US adversaries (China, Russia), and rehearsing for potential future interventions, most notably in Cuba.
  • Decline of US "Soft Power": The shift from deterring adversaries through the threat of force ("speak softly and carry a big stick") to using direct military action is interpreted as a sign of declining US influence, as its economic and diplomatic power is no longer sufficient on its own.

Quotes

  • At 00:09 - "the US attack on Venezuela and the detainment of Nicolás Maduro and his wife, uh bringing them to the United States to face charges of, uh narco trafficking, guns, whatever the US government wants to make up to charge them with crimes." - The speaker introduces the topic of the emergency podcast episode.
  • At 04:16 - "Let's also call this for what it is. It's out and out imperialism. This is the United States basically taking a country for its resources because it can and because it wants to." - This quote frames the US action not as a fight against crime, but as a strategic move to secure resources and assert power.
  • At 13:02 - "If you have to fire the shot, if you have to go in and take out Maduro, you're actually showing some relative weakness." - The speaker argues that the need for direct military intervention, rather than achieving goals through threat or economic coercion, signals a decline in a great power's overall influence.

Takeaways

  • Analyze US foreign policy through the lens of historical imperialism. Instead of accepting official narratives at face value (e.g., drug enforcement), consider the long history of US actions in its sphere of influence, which often prioritize resource control and geopolitical dominance.
  • Watch for signs of escalation against other US adversaries. The speaker explicitly suggests that the successful and relatively unopposed operation in Venezuela could serve as a template for a future intervention in Cuba, making it a key region to monitor.
  • Recognize that overt military action can signal a decline in "soft power." When a global power must resort to direct force to achieve its goals, it may indicate that its ability to influence events through diplomacy, economic pressure, or the mere threat of force is waning.