We Are Open Systems & That Changes Everything

Curt Jaimungal Curt Jaimungal Apr 24, 2026

Audio Brief

Show transcript
This episode covers why human behavior remains fundamentally unpredictable due to the brain operating as an open system. There are three key takeaways. First, humans are open systems constantly reshaped by external context, defeating classical deterministic prediction. Second, the brain is an active predictive processing engine designed to navigate environmental uncertainty. Third, modeling human decision-making requires treating external inputs as primary variables rather than noise. Unlike closed physical systems, the brain constantly interacts with its surroundings, meaning internal state knowledge alone cannot predict future behavior. Evolution resolved this challenge by designing our brains to actively anticipate and adapt to unpredictable environmental stimuli. Understanding this open loop structure is essential for accurately modeling cognitive outcomes and human choices. Ultimately, recognizing the brain as an open, adaptive predictor changes how we analyze human behavior in an unpredictable world.

Episode Overview

  • This episode explores why human brains and behavior are fundamentally unpredictable due to our nature as "open systems."
  • It challenges the classical deterministic view of "Laplace's Demon" by explaining how constant external inputs disrupt absolute predictability.
  • The discussion frames the brain not as a static processor, but as an evolved predictive processing engine designed to navigate an uncertain, open-ended environment.

Key Concepts

  • Open Systems vs. Closed Systems: Unlike closed physical systems, humans are open systems constantly interacting with and receiving unpredictable information from their environment. This continuous flow of new context makes absolute internal prediction impossible.
  • The Failure of Laplace's Demon: Laplace's Demon posits that knowing the state of every molecule in a system allows for perfect future prediction. However, because the brain is open to external context, knowing its current internal state is insufficient to predict its state even minutes into the future.
  • Predictive Processing as an Evolutionary Adaptation: Because we live in an unpredictable open system, evolution has designed our brains as "predictor processing systems" (referencing Karl Friston's work) to actively anticipate and adapt to incoming, unpredicted environmental stimuli.

Quotes

  • At 0:03 - "What I need to emphasize in talking about all of this is the crucial fact that we are open systems." - establishing the foundational premise that distinguishes biological organisms from isolated physical systems.
  • At 0:31 - "This is a simple fact physicists tend to not think of context. They think in just generic terms and they don't think of context." - highlighting a common scientific blind spot when analyzing complex biological systems through the lens of classical physics.
  • At 1:18 - "I believe that our brains are predictor processing systems... precisely because we are open systems." - explaining how the brain's cognitive architecture evolved specifically to cope with environmental unpredictability.

Takeaways

  • Recognize the limits of strict determinism when analyzing human behavior, as external context and unpredictable events constantly reshape cognitive states.
  • Understand the brain as an active prediction engine rather than a passive receiver, which helps in grasping how humans navigate sudden environmental changes.
  • Apply the concept of "open systems" when modeling human decision-making, ensuring that unexpected external environmental inputs are factored in as primary variables rather than noise.