Rachell Powell on Evolutionary Convergence, Morality, and Mind | Mindscape 342

S
Sean Carroll Jan 26, 2026

Audio Brief

Show transcript
This episode covers the complex tension between historical accidents and inevitable outcomes in the evolution of life and intelligence. There are three key takeaways from this conversation. First, human cognition is prone to a bundling fallacy where we incorrectly assume distinct traits like intelligence and morality must naturally occur together. Second, the mechanism of developmental lock-in suggests that early structural decisions in any system often become permanent constraints that limit future possibilities. Third, true human uniqueness lies not in raw biological intelligence but in cumulative culture, or the ability to retain and improve innovations across generations. Let's look at these in more detail. The debate between contingency and convergence is central to understanding evolutionary biology. Contingency suggests that if we replayed history, the outcomes would be radically different, perhaps with no humans at all. Convergence argues that environmental pressures force life into repeatable solutions, such as the independent evolution of eyes. This distinction matters because humans tend to commit the bundling fallacy. We assume that high intelligence requires a humanoid body or that social norms require complex language simply because that is how they appear in us. However, evolution creates a hodgepodge of traits rather than pre-packaged bundles, meaning alien life or artificial intelligence could possess high intelligence without any of the physical or moral traits we associate with humanity. This leads to the concept of developmental lock-in, which explains why major new body plans stopped appearing after the Cambrian period. In biology, early developmental stages are established first, and changing them essentially destroys the organism. This locks lineages into specific paths. This principle applies beyond biology to organizational and project management. Decisions made at the very beginning of a system act as early nodes that become nearly impossible to change later without catastrophic disruption. Finally, the discussion challenges the anthropocentric view of success. Humans are distinguished by cumulative culture, an evolutionary hack that prevents us from having to reinvent the wheel every generation. While social insects like ants possess normative societies governed by strict rules, they lack this open-ended capacity for revision and accumulation. This cultural retention is what allowed humans to dominate, despite being biologically scrappy and numbering few in the early days of the species. It implies that human dominance was a high-risk, unlikely outcome rather than an inevitability waiting to explode. This conversation ultimately suggests that sustaining an open society requires active cultural effort to override our biological defaults toward tribalism.

Episode Overview

  • Explores the tension between "contingency" (historical accidents) and "convergence" (inevitable outcomes) in the evolution of life and intelligence.
  • Challenges anthropocentric biases by examining how humans incorrectly "bundle" traits like intelligence, body plans, and morality.
  • Investigates the mechanics of evolution, specifically how "developmental lock-in" prevents organisms from changing fundamental body plans.
  • Compares human social structures to those of social insects, arguing that insects possess "normative" (law-governed) societies similar to humans.
  • Discusses the fragility of moral progress and the role of "cumulative culture" as the defining trait that separates human success from other species.

Key Concepts

  • Contingency vs. Convergence: The central debate in evolutionary biology. Contingency suggests if history were replayed, outcomes would be radically different (e.g., no humans). Convergence argues that environmental pressures force life into repeatable solutions (e.g., the independent evolution of eyes), suggesting intelligence might be inevitable even if humans weren't.
  • The Bundling Fallacy: A cognitive error where we assume distinct traits found in humans must naturally go together. For example, assuming that high intelligence requires a humanoid body or that social norms require complex language. Evolution creates a "hodgepodge" of traits, not pre-packaged bundles.
  • Developmental Lock-In: A biological mechanism explaining why major new body plans stopped appearing after the Cambrian period. Early developmental stages (nodes) are established first; changing them destroys the organism. This "locks" lineages into specific paths, limiting future evolutionary possibilities.
  • The "N=1" Problem & Natural Experiments: Because we only have one Earth (N=1), we cannot easily test evolutionary laws. Scientists solve this by using "convergent evolution" as a proxy. If a trait (like the eye or social structure) evolves independently in unrelated lineages, it suggests a law-like necessity rather than a historical accident.
  • Functionalism vs. Mechanism: Humans often define traits based on how we do them (mechanism) rather than what they do (function). By shifting to a functional definition, we can recognize that social insects have "norms" (rules enforced by the group) even though they lack the human mechanism of symbolic language.
  • Cumulative Culture: The specific evolutionary "hack" that distinguishes humans. We are not exponentially smarter biologically than other species; rather, we possess the unique ability to retain and improve innovations across generations. This prevents "reinventing the wheel" and allows for technological civilization.
  • Multiple Realizability of Norms: The concept that different species can achieve the same functional social structure using different cognitive tools. Insects use rigid, biological programming to enforce social rules, while humans use "open-ended," revisable culture. Both achieve a "normative society" (rule-governed cooperation).

Quotes

  • At 0:07:38 - "I think that the most profound worldview shattering insights in modern human history haven't come from philosophy... they've come from science... [Science is] an intuition shattering wrecking ball." - Discussing the philosophical power of scientific inquiry.
  • At 0:10:00 - "When you extend those principles [of physics]... to biology, things start to break down pretty quickly. For a bunch of reasons, and contingency is going to be one of the big ones." - On why the laws of physics do not neatly apply to biological history.
  • At 0:15:53 - "We tend to bundle—we treat evolution as these bundles of traits... In biology, it's this hodgepodge of highly contingent, non-replicable traits mixed with perhaps some law-like stuff weaved into it." - Defining the 'Bundling Fallacy' regarding alien life and evolution.
  • At 0:20:03 - "When you couch natural selection as this universal thing... it doesn't say anything specific. There's no content in it. It doesn't tell you what's fitter than anything else." - Explaining why natural selection is a schema rather than a predictive law like gravity.
  • At 0:26:56 - "Once those early nodes are laid down... you can't change the early nodes without disrupting the whole system. So once you get going, you kind of get locked in place." - Explaining the mechanism of developmental lock-in.
  • At 0:27:18 - "If things had just gone a little bit different in the base of the Cambrian period... that shape of life would be relegated to science fiction possibilia." - Referencing Stephen Jay Gould’s view on the fragility of our existence.
  • At 0:30:11 - "These replications, these convergences... can essentially be treated as tantamount to natural experimental replications in the history of life." - How scientists use convergent evolution to solve the sample size problem.
  • At 0:41:16 - "There's strong evidence... that brains and active bodies and minds evolved multiple times independently... First in the arthropods... before vertebrates even got going." - Challenging the idea that "mind" is unique to humans or vertebrates.
  • At 0:45:50 - "We define 'intelligence' or 'social norms' based on the human version... If you build complex cognitive features that humans use... into our definition... no one else is going to have them." - Critiquing anthropocentric definitions of biological traits.
  • At 0:49:51 - "Allowing for the retention and incremental improvement of innovations down generations... otherwise what you're limited to... is innovations that one individual... could just happen to stumble upon." - Identifying cumulative culture as the primary driver of human dominance.
  • At 0:51:46 - "Our numbers were tiny... we were scrappy... You wouldn't be betting on us... That is not an inevitability waiting to just explode." - Emphasizing that human dominance was a high-risk, unlikely evolutionary outcome.
  • At 0:59:10 - "Social normative structures are social structures that are multiply cognitively realizable... meaning many different cognitive forms could give rise to the same functional structure." - Arguing that insects and humans both have moral/legal structures.
  • At 1:00:27 - "The best case I think for social norms, outside of human beings... It's actually in social insects, where you get a robust institutionalization of rules of conduct that are enforced by subordinates against everyone." - Comparing insect colonies to rule-of-law societies.
  • At 1:03:33 - "A normative society is precisely... a society that's law-governed and governed by rules, not sheer power, not self-interest." - Differentiating "moral" societies from dominance-based ones like chimpanzee troops.
  • At 1:07:59 - "There are certain things that are right and wrong irrespective of what our desires or preferences are... Once you're in the realm of reason-giving... you could be swayed." - Discussing the potential for objective moral progress through reason.
  • At 1:12:44 - "There's not an ethical imperative for existence at any cost... There is something deep about just trying to understand and empathize with the world around us." - Advocating for virtue ethics in the face of inevitable extinction.

Takeaways

  • Unbundle your assumptions: When analyzing complex systems (like AI or alien life), do not assume that traits appearing together in humans (like intelligence and morality) must always appear together.
  • Define by function, not mechanism: To understand systems unlike yourself (animals or AI), look at what a behavior achieves (stabilizing cooperation) rather than how it is achieved (language vs. instinct).
  • Leverage cumulative culture: Recognize that human "genius" is largely the result of information retention. Prioritize systems and habits that preserve knowledge across time rather than relying solely on raw individual innovation.
  • Recognize the fragility of "nodes": Just as biological development gets "locked in," organizational or project decisions made early on (early nodes) are often impossible to change later without destroying the system. Choose early constraints carefully.
  • Distinguish laws from accidents: When analyzing history or success, actively try to separate "contingent" factors (luck/timing) from "convergent" factors (systemic inevitabilities) to make better predictions.
  • View morality as a survival technology: Understand social norms not just as "goodness" but as an evolutionary tool used to stabilize intense cooperation and prevent free-riding.
  • Fight the "parochial" default: Acknowledge that human biology defaults to tribalism (in-group/out-group). Sustaining an inclusive, open society requires active, cultural effort to override these biological instincts.
  • Use reason to audit preferences: Differentiate between "biological preferences" (what we want) and "reasoned norms" (what is right). Use the open-ended nature of human normativity to critique and improve your own rules.
  • Embrace virtue over longevity: Since extinction or obsolescence (perhaps by AI) is a long-term likelihood, focus meaning on the quality of understanding and empathy achieved now, rather than obsession with indefinite survival.