Ep. 08: How To Write An Investment Thesis and Pick Stocks With Screeners | Market MakeHer Podcast

Market MakeHer Podcast Market MakeHer Podcast Jul 18, 2023

Audio Brief

Show transcript
This episode covers what an investment thesis is, how to create one, and why it's a crucial first step before investing. There are three key takeaways from this conversation. First, always formulate a clear "why" before making an investment. Second, leverage your everyday observations to generate new investment ideas. Finally, efficiently narrow down options by utilizing your brokerage's free screener tools. An investment thesis provides a reasoned argument for a specific investment. It functions like a scientific hypothesis, requiring you to theorize why a company or sector will be profitable. This approach moves beyond impulsive buying, demanding research and data to validate your premise before committing capital. Generate investment ideas by paying close attention to the world around you. Observe problems being solved, emerging technologies like artificial intelligence, and demographic shifts such as an aging population. Understanding the 11 stock market sectors also helps categorize companies and identify broad trends, pinpointing those positioned to solve economic headwinds or capitalize on tailwinds. Efficiently manage thousands of potential investments by using free stock screeners found on brokerage platforms. These powerful tools allow you to filter options based on specific criteria like sector, analyst ratings, or expense ratios. This ensures you narrow down choices that align directly with your carefully developed investment thesis. Developing a robust and validated investment thesis transforms your investment decisions from speculative gambles into calculated, strategic choices.

Episode Overview

  • This episode explains what an investment thesis is and why it's a crucial first step before buying a stock, ETF, or mutual fund.
  • The hosts use simple analogies, like a high school science project, to break down how to form a hypothesis for an investment and validate it with data.
  • The episode introduces the 11 stock market sectors and explains how to use real-world observations and emerging trends to generate investment ideas.
  • It demonstrates how to use brokerage tools like stock screeners to filter thousands of investment options down to a manageable list that fits your personal thesis.

Key Concepts

  • Investment Thesis: This is a reasoned argument for making a particular investment. It's compared to a scientific hypothesis, where you have a theory about why a company or sector will be profitable and then use research and data to prove or disprove it before investing.
  • Stock Market Sectors: The market is divided into 11 distinct sectors (e.g., Technology, Healthcare, Financials, Utilities). Understanding these sectors helps categorize companies and identify broad trends that can form the basis of an investment thesis.
  • Macro Headwinds and Tailwinds: These are large-scale economic factors that can impact the market. Headwinds are challenges that slow down growth (like a labor shortage), while tailwinds are opportunities that accelerate growth (like AI increasing productivity). A strong investment thesis often identifies a company positioned to solve a headwind or ride a tailwind.
  • Stock Screeners: These are powerful, free tools available on brokerage platforms that allow investors to filter thousands of stocks, ETFs, and funds based on specific criteria (e.g., sector, analyst ratings, price, expense ratios). This helps narrow down options to match an investment thesis.

Quotes

  • At 00:30 - "The goal of this episode is to explain what an investment thesis is, how you can create one for your personal investing needs." - The host clearly states the primary objective of the discussion.
  • At 01:09 - "Do you remember back in school, we were in science class... you would come up with a hypothesis." - The hosts use this analogy to make the concept of an investment thesis accessible and easy to understand.
  • At 07:47 - "Coming from the US over to England is a little bit faster because the wind is your tailwind. But on the way back, it's an hour longer because now the wind is a headwind." - This quote provides a simple, real-world analogy to explain the financial concepts of headwinds and tailwinds.
  • At 12:52 - "It's not go see it, go buy it. It's go see it, go validate it." - The host summarizes the core message of the episode: the importance of doing your homework and validating an investment idea before putting money into it.

Takeaways

  • Formulate a clear "why" before you invest. Instead of impulsively buying a trending stock, develop an investment thesis that outlines why you believe a specific company or sector will succeed, turning your investment into a calculated decision rather than a gamble.
  • Use your everyday observations as a source of investment ideas. Pay attention to problems being solved, emerging technologies (like AI), and demographic shifts (like an aging population) around you to identify potential sectors and companies poised for growth.
  • Leverage your brokerage's free screener tools to efficiently narrow down your options. Instead of being overwhelmed by thousands of stocks, use screeners to filter for investments that match your specific criteria, such as sector, analyst ratings, or expense ratios.