DEAD PROJECTS! We see dead projects and lived to tell you about them.
Audio Brief
Show transcript
This episode explores the "death" of influential software projects, analyzing the reasons behind their demise and their lasting impact on modern technology.
There are three key takeaways from this discussion. First, technical innovation alone does not guarantee a project's survival; market timing, business strategy, and development velocity are equally critical. Second, a project can fail commercially but still leave a lasting and influential legacy, with its core concepts being adopted into mainstream tools. Third, choosing the right market and optimizing for what customers actually value is more important for success than pure technical excellence.
Groundbreaking projects like Meteor.js, Quicksilver, and RethinkDB illustrate that technical prowess alone does not ensure longevity. Meteor.js, a once-hyped JavaScript framework, declined after its parent company pivoted away. Quicksilver, a revolutionary Mac app launcher, pioneered the command-palette interface but languished in perpetual beta, demonstrating a first-mover disadvantage as competitors emerged. RethinkDB, a technically impressive NoSQL database, also failed commercially despite its innovation.
Even when projects cease to be commercially viable, their core innovations often become foundational. Quicksilver's pioneering command-palette interface, for instance, heavily influenced modern operating systems and tools such as Apple's Spotlight and third-party launchers like Raycast. This demonstrates how influential concepts, or a project's "DNA," can outlive their original implementations, impacting the future of software design.
The commercial failure of RethinkDB further highlights that technical superiority alone is insufficient for market success. The database optimized for engineering metrics over actual market demand and entered a highly competitive space, proving to be a terrible market choice. Similarly, Quicksilver's prolonged beta phase and inability to deliver a stable product prevented it from capitalizing on its early lead, allowing competitors to capture the market by providing more polished, customer-centric solutions. Understanding customer needs and market dynamics is paramount.
The discussion ultimately reveals that while individual software projects may "die," their influence often enduring, shaping the technological landscape for years to come.
Episode Overview
- The episode begins with a humorous confession about losing 45 minutes of recorded audio, which serves as a creative introduction to the main topic: the "death" of software projects.
- The hosts conduct a "graveyard tour" of influential but now-defunct or legacy technologies, including Meteor.js, Quicksilver, RethinkDB, and ICQ.
- Through these case studies, the discussion analyzes why innovative and beloved projects fail, exploring themes like first-mover disadvantage, poor market fit, and being outcompeted.
- The conversation highlights that a project can fail commercially but still have a lasting impact, with its core ideas living on in modern tools and operating systems.
Key Concepts
- Meteor.js: A once-hyped JavaScript framework that received significant VC funding but eventually declined after its parent company pivoted to focus on its spin-off, Apollo, leaving Meteor as a legacy project.
- Quicksilver: The revolutionary Mac app launcher that pioneered the command-palette interface but languished in a perpetual beta state, allowing competitors like Alfred and Apple's native Spotlight to capture the market it created.
- RethinkDB: A technically impressive NoSQL database that ultimately failed commercially due to choosing a difficult market (competing with database giants) and optimizing for the wrong engineering metrics instead of what the market valued.
- First-Mover Disadvantage: A recurring theme that being the first to market with an innovative idea does not guarantee long-term success, as demonstrated by both Quicksilver and RethinkDB.
- Legacy and Influence: The idea that a "dead" project's DNA can survive in modern software; for example, the concepts pioneered by Quicksilver are now standard features in tools like Raycast and Spotlight.
- Nostalgia for Defunct Tech: The hosts reflect on other obsolete tools like the ICQ messaging app and early multi-protocol chat clients, highlighting the transient nature of software.
Quotes
- At 1:51 - "We just spent 45 minutes recording some dynamic dialogue for y'all... and it's now into the ether." - Jerod Santo confesses that they lost a significant portion of the recording right before the show, setting a meta-theme for the "death of projects."
- At 35:48 - "To me, it felt more like a toy than a tool that I would build a business around." - The host shares his personal experience using Meteor.js, finding it impressive but not robust enough for serious business applications at the time.
- At 43:02 - "always seemed to be in beta, basically in beta for 10 years." - Describing how the influential app launcher Quicksilver never seemed to reach a stable, final release, which contributed to its decline.
- At 46:04 - "Why didn't they win?" - A succinct question summarizing the core paradox of Quicksilver: despite being the first and most innovative in its category, it ultimately lost its market leadership.
- At 54:03 - "There were two main problems. They picked a terrible market, and then they optimized the product for the wrong metrics of goodness." - Quoting the founder of RethinkDB's post-mortem analysis on why the innovative database ultimately failed commercially.
Takeaways
- Technical innovation alone is not a guarantee of a project's survival; market timing, business strategy, and development velocity are equally critical.
- A project can fail commercially but still leave a lasting and influential legacy, with its core concepts being adopted into mainstream tools.
- Choosing the right market and optimizing for what customers actually value is more important for success than pure technical excellence.