Covered Calls: A Devil's Bargain | Rational Reminder 375
Audio Brief
Show transcript
This episode critically examines the mechanics and performance of high-yield covered call ETFs, revealing why these products often fall short of investor expectations.
There are three key takeaways from this discussion. First, the high yields advertised by covered call ETFs are often not true income but a return of the investor's own capital, leading to principal erosion. Second, these strategies fundamentally alter the return profile of stocks by capping upside potential while providing only marginal downside protection, hindering long-term growth. Third, for investors seeking reduced volatility, a simpler and more effective approach is to combine a low-cost stock index fund with cash or bonds.
The illusion of income is a central concern. Many covered call ETFs generate their distributions from a mix of dividends, option premiums, and crucially, a return of the fund's own capital. This leads to a gradual decay of the fund's net asset value over time, despite seemingly attractive payouts.
Covered call strategies create asymmetrical returns. They remove the unlimited upside potential inherent in stock ownership, which is a primary driver of long-term wealth creation. In exchange, they offer only limited downside cushioning, fundamentally eliminating a key benefit of equity investing.
For investors aiming to lower portfolio risk, covered call ETFs are generally an inefficient solution. A more effective and transparent strategy involves simply combining a standard, low-cost equity ETF with an allocation to cash or high-quality bonds. This provides better risk-adjusted returns without the complexity and performance drag of covered calls.
In summary, while appearing attractive, high-yield covered call ETFs often present a misleading value proposition, making them generally unsuitable for most long-term investors.
Episode Overview
- The hosts express deep skepticism towards high-yield covered call ETFs, investigating why products that sound "too good to be true" often are.
- They break down the mechanics of covered call strategies, explaining how they cap upside potential while only slightly cushioning downside, leading to an unfavorable long-term risk profile.
- The podcast analyzes specific ETFs like JEPI and single-stock products, using them as examples of misleading marketing and significant underperformance compared to their benchmarks.
- A core theme is that the high "yields" are not true income but often a return of the investor's own capital, which erodes the fund's net asset value over time.
Key Concepts
- The Illusion of Income: High distribution yields from covered call ETFs are misleading. They are not true income but a combination of dividends, option premiums, and often a return of the investor's own capital, which causes the fund's NAV to decay.
- Asymmetrical Returns: The strategy fundamentally alters the return profile of owning stocks by capping the unlimited upside while only slightly protecting against downside risk, eliminating a key benefit of long-term stock ownership.
- Fading Volatility Risk Premium: The primary theoretical benefit of selling options—capturing the premium between implied and realized volatility—has been insufficient to compensate for the lost equity exposure since around 2011.
- Misleading Marketing: Funds often deceptively compare their derivative-generated distributions to the natural yields of other asset classes, implying a superior return prospect that is not supported by total return data.
- Performance Drag and High Costs: Covered call ETFs consistently underperform a simple portfolio of the underlying stocks over the long term, a problem exacerbated by their higher management and trading fees compared to standard index funds.
- Poor Alternative to Lowering Risk: An investor seeking lower volatility achieves better risk-adjusted returns by simply combining a standard equity ETF with a cash or bond allocation, rather than using a complex and inefficient covered call product.
Quotes
- At 5:19 - "The idea that covered calls generate income is financial bullshit." - Ben Felix makes a strong, direct statement to immediately challenge the primary marketing claim of covered call strategies.
- At 29:08 - "You're eliminating the mean-reverting tendency of stocks by capping the upside while only slightly improving the downside." - The host succinctly explains how the covered call structure removes a key benefit of long-term stock ownership.
- At 32:33 - "It is absolutely crucial to remember that these distributions are not income in the way that like bond interest is." - The host emphasizes that the high yields are misleading and are often composed of a return of the investor's own principal.
- At 53:39 - "His yield...is in fact negatively related to its expected return, which to me is just egregious." - Criticizing JEPI's marketing chart, which compares its derivative-generated yield to the yields of other asset classes, implying a superior return prospect that is fundamentally untrue.
- At 1:09:05 - "I really don't think covered calls have anything special to offer. They get you to a place similar to holding a bunch of cash, except that your upside is limited and your downside is unlimited." - Summarizing the core trade-off and unattractive risk/return profile of covered call strategies for most investors.
Takeaways
- Be highly critical of any investment promising exceptionally high yields, as these distributions are often not true income but a return of your own capital that erodes your principal.
- Covered call strategies are generally unsuitable for long-term growth as they trade away the most important driver of stock returns—upside potential—for minimal downside protection.
- For investors looking to reduce portfolio volatility, a simpler and more effective approach is to hold a combination of a low-cost stock index fund and cash or bonds.